At the national level, Joe Biden improved on Hillary Clinton's margin by 2.4 points (Clinton "won" by 2.1%, while Biden beat Trump by 4.5%). In 2016 Trump won Florida by a mere 1.2%, so all things being equal, Biden should have taken Florida. But of course, all things aren't equal, and Trump improved his Florida … Continue reading Florida: not pivotal, but still interesting

The full 2020 election results at the county level are available, and I'll be looking at a few key states. Let's start of Pennslyvania, because why not? Here are PA's counties, shaded red or blue depending on how strongly they supported the R or D candidate. Light shades means the vote was close to 50/50; … Continue reading 2020, one state at a time