{"id":695,"date":"2021-05-02T06:59:52","date_gmt":"2021-05-02T13:59:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/?p=695"},"modified":"2021-05-02T06:59:52","modified_gmt":"2021-05-02T13:59:52","slug":"covid-it-aint-over-yet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/?p=695","title":{"rendered":"COVID &#8211; It Ain&#8217;t Over Yet"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There are all sorts of graphs showing the progression of COVID. We&#8217;ve all seen graphs that show the number of COVID deaths over time. There&#8217;s a lot of variation, depending on the state and\/or country. This makes sense &#8211; different regions were hit in different ways. So, New York, the early epicenter in the US:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"790\" height=\"430\" data-attachment-id=\"699\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/?attachment_id=699\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-3.png\" data-orig-size=\"790,430\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-title=\"image-3\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-3.png\" src=\"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-3.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-699\" srcset=\"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-3.png 790w, https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-3-300x163.png 300w, https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-3-768x418.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 790px) 100vw, 790px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">looks different than California, which did a great job until the winter surge:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"778\" height=\"428\" data-attachment-id=\"700\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/?attachment_id=700\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-4.png\" data-orig-size=\"778,428\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-title=\"image-4\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-4.png\" src=\"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-4.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-700\" srcset=\"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-4.png 778w, https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-4-300x165.png 300w, https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-4-768x422.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 778px) 100vw, 778px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And Italy&#8217;s graph:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"793\" height=\"430\" data-attachment-id=\"701\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/?attachment_id=701\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-5.png\" data-orig-size=\"793,430\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-title=\"image-5\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-5.png\" src=\"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-5.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-701\" srcset=\"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-5.png 793w, https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-5-300x163.png 300w, https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-5-768x416.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 793px) 100vw, 793px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">is very different than India&#8217;s:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"778\" height=\"428\" data-attachment-id=\"702\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/?attachment_id=702\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-6.png\" data-orig-size=\"778,428\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-title=\"image-6\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-6.png\" src=\"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-6.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-702\" srcset=\"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-6.png 778w, https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-6-300x165.png 300w, https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-6-768x422.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 778px) 100vw, 778px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But what happens if you ignore the regional variations, and look at the progression of the disease world wide? This graph is total deaths, worldwide, cumulative:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"769\" height=\"498\" data-attachment-id=\"697\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/?attachment_id=697\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-1.png\" data-orig-size=\"769,498\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-title=\"image-1\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-1.png\" src=\"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-697\" srcset=\"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-1.png 769w, https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/image-1-300x194.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 769px) 100vw, 769px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">By smoothing out the county-by-county variations, it&#8217;s easy to see COVID&#8217;s steady and relentless progress. Roughly speaking, that&#8217;s two straight lines. April though October at one rate, and November to now at a higher rate (not a perfect straight line, it has a bit of a wobble).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We may be feeling pretty good in the US, but world-wide, we are no where near being out of the woods yet. Hopefully greater vaccine availability will break this curve soon.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There are all sorts of graphs showing the progression of COVID. We&#8217;ve all seen graphs that show the number of COVID deaths over time. There&#8217;s a lot of variation, depending on the state and\/or country. This makes sense &#8211; different regions were hit in different ways. So, New York, the early epicenter in the US: &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/?p=695\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">COVID &#8211; It Ain&#8217;t Over Yet<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":123017812,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_seo_schema_type":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-695","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"featured_image_src":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"Jeff Eby","author_link":"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/?author=123017812"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pcRTZu-bd","amp_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/695","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/123017812"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=695"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/695\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":703,"href":"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/695\/revisions\/703"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=695"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=695"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/numberthoughts.ebydurbin.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=695"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}